PAK vs SA Match Prediction: Who will win the 3rd ODI? Pakistan ODI Tri-Series 2025

Published - 11 Feb 2025, 08:41 PM | Updated - 11 Feb 2025, 08:45 PM

Mohammad Rizwan,  PAK vs SA
Mohammad Rizwan (Credits: X)

Pakistan and New Zealand will be taking on each other in the third match of the ongoing ODI tri-series. The game is scheduled to be played at the National Stadium in Karachi on Wednesday (February 12).

The upcoming game is a virtual semifinal as the winning team will qualify for the final while the losing team will bow out of the series. Both Pakistan and South Africa have lost their opening games against New Zealand and need to win the forthcoming game to make it to the final.

Pakistan suffered a 78-run loss against New Zealand while chasing 331 runs. On the other hand, South Africa lost their game against New Zealand by six wickets while defending 304 runs. So as Pakistan and South Africa gear up for the third match of the ODI tri-series, here are all the predictions for the game.

PAK vs SA Match Prediction: Who will win the 3rd ODI? Pakistan ODI Tri-Series 2025

Match Details

Match: PAK vs SA, 3rd ODI

Date: February 12, 2025

Time: 02:30 PM IST

Venue: National Stadium, Karachi

Live streaming: JioTV

Live broadcast: Sony Sports Network

PAK vs SA Match Prediction—Head-to-Head Record

South Africa have a clear upper hand in this rivalry. Of the 86 ODIs played between the two teams so far, South Africa have won 52 while Pakistan have managed to emerge victorious in only 33 games. However, Pakistan have done well against South Africa in recent games. They have won four of the last five ODIs against the African outfit.

Total ODI Matches Played: 86

Pakistan Won: 33

South Africa Won: 52

Last 5 Matches: Pakistan- 4 wins | South Africa - 1 win

Pitch Report & Conditions

Batting-Friendly: Conditions in Karachi will be more favorable for the batsmen. The venue last hosted an ODI match last year when Pakistan played all three games against New Zealand at the National Stadium.

In all three games, the teams batting first posted big totals and went on to win the game. Both Pakistan and South Africa will keep that in mind and will look to score big while batting first. Talking about the bowlers, fast bowlers had made a bigger impact in that series as the top eight wicket-takers were pacers.

Average 1st Innings Score: 244 - The average first innings total at the National Stadium in Karachi is 244 runs. So anything close to 300 runs will be a very challenging score.

Chasing Record:

There is no clear trend for the teams batting first and second at the venue. Of the 54 ODIs played in Karachi so far, teams batting first and second have managed to win 26 games each while two games did not yield any result. However, in four of the last five ODIs played at the venue, teams batting first have emerged victorious.

Weather Report

There is no prediction for rain during the PAK vs SA game day in Karachi. The game is unlikely to be interrupted by weather conditions. As far as the temperature is concerned, it will be hovering around 30 degrees Celsius during the first half of the game and will be hovering between 20-25 degrees Celsius after the sunset.

PAK vs SA Match Prediction - Pakistan and South Africa Probable XIs

Pakistan Playing 11:

Fakhar Zaman, Babar Azam, Mohammad Rizwan (c & wk), Khushdil Shah, Kamran Ghulam, Salman Agha, Tayyab Tahir, Shaheen Afridi, Naseem Shah, Mohammad Hasnain, Abrar Ahmed

South Africa Playing 11:

Temba Bavuma (c), Matthew Breetzke, Jason Smith, Wiaan Mulder, Heinrich Klaasen (wk), Mihlali Mpongwana, Eathan Bosch, Keshav Maharaj Junior Dala, Lungi Ngidi, Tabraiz Shamsi

Form and Fitness

Pakistan will be without Haris Rauf for the upcoming PAK vs SA game. The Pakistan Cricket Board has confirmed that the pacer sustained a muscular sprain in the lower chest wall region during the game against New Zealand and will miss the upcoming game. South Africa have no major injury concerns at the moment.

Score Prediction

Team 1st Innings 2nd Innings
PAK 300-310 250-260
SA 280-290 240-250

PAK vs SA Players to perform prediction

PAK: Babar Azam, Fakhar Zaman, Mohammad Rizwan, Salman Agha, and Abrar Ahmed can play key roles for Pakistan.

SA: Matthew Breetzke, Temba Bavuma, Heinrich Klaasen, Wiaan Mulder, and Keshav Maharaj can play key roles for South Africa.

PAK vs SA Best Batsman Prediction

Who will score the most runs for PAK in the match: Mohammad Rizwan or Fakhar Zaman

Who will score the most runs for SA in the match: Wiaan Mulder or Heinrich Klaasen

PAK vs SA Best Bowler Prediction

Who will pick the most wickets for PAK in the match: Shaheen Afridi or Abrar Ahmed

Who will pick the most wickets for SA in the match: Keshav Maharaj or Lungi Ngidi

Conclusion: Who will win the match?

Even though both Pakistan and South Africa suffered a loss in their previous game, the former will start the game as slight favorites. Pakistan recently beat South Africa in the ODI series in their own backyard and have the home advantage as well.

So, Pakistan are expected to win the upcoming third ODI of the tri-series against South Africa.

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