BAN vs PAK Match Prediction - Who Will Win 1st ODI? | Pakistan tour of Bangladesh 2026

Pakistan will be travelling to Bangladesh for a three-match ODI series. This would be their first meeting in three years. The teams met back in 2023 at the Eden Gardens, Kolkata, during the ODI World Cup. This would be Bangladesh’s first home game since last year's West Indies series. The Bangla Tigers were even excluded from the 2026 T20 World Cup.

Pakistan would also be looking for a fresh start after their dismal performances in the recently concluded T20 World Cup. They failed to qualify for the semi-final stages and were criticised for the same. However, the ODI format is different, though here also they have struggled in recent years. In the past three ODI World Cups, they also failed to qualify for the last four.

BAN vs PAK Match Prediction: Who Will Win 1st ODI?

Match Details

Match: Bangladesh vs Pakistan, Match 1, ODI Series.

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Date: March 11, 2026

Time: 1:45 PM IST

Venue: Sher-e-Bangla Stadium, Dhaka

Live streaming: Fancode (OTT and Mobile)

Live broadcast: N/A

BAN vs PAK Match Prediction: Head-to-Head Record

The two teams have faced each other 39 times in the ODI format, with Pakistan having the upper hand, winning 34 games, and the Bangla Tigers have won five games. In the ODI World Cups, there has been a more even contest; in three meetings, the Men in Green have won 2 and Bangladesh has won just a single game.

Pitch Report & Conditions

The Sher-e-Bangla stadium has not been a high-scoring game. In 121 games, only 13 times have 300-plus runs been scored with the pitch that tends to offer spin, and it is on the drier side. Spin bowlers, in particular, can dominate games, so both teams would be playing three to four spin bowling options.

Teams batting first have won 58 games and chasing 63; there is not much difference between the two, so the toss will not be a crucial factor. However, on a freshly prepared wicket, teams would want to bat first after winning the toss.

BAN vs PAK Weather Report

There is a slight chance of rain ahead of the game. However, a cloudy sky will be there during the afternoon, and no chance of rain to interrupt the game. During the match, the temperature will be around 25-30 degrees Celsius, and it is believed to have a pleasent weather.

BAN vs PAK Match Prediction: Probable XIs

Bangladesh Playing XI: Saif Hassan, Soumya Sarkar, Najmul Hossain Shanto, Tawhid Hridoy, Litton Das, Mahidul Islam Bhuiyan, Mehidy Hasan Miraz (c), Rishad Hossain, Tanvir Islam, Mustafizur Rahman, Taskin Ahmed.

Pakistan Playing XI: Sahibzada Farhan, Shamyl Hussain, Mohammad Rizwan (wk), Salman Ali Agha, Abdul Samad, Maaz Sadaqat, Saad Masood, Shaheen Shah Afridi (captain), Haris Rauf, Faisal Akram, Abrar Ahmed.

Toss Impact:

The toss will not be a key factor as it is not an evening game, and the temperature has also been on the pleasant side. With rain predicted to come in ahead of the match, there will be some dampness if the rain occurs. However, teams would want to bat first after winning the toss.

BAN vs PAK - Form and Fitness:

There has been no concern of injuries in the two camps as of now. However, as Pakistan comes with a new side with less experience in their batting in the ODI format, their performance would be a concern for them in the series.

BAN vs PAK - Score Prediction:

A first-innings score between 250 and 275 should be a good total on this surface. Anything below 250 would be a score easily chaseable in this format. Despite the spin to offer, there is no chance of dew; if it comes, then it might also affect the very few overs of the game.

BAN vs PAK: Players to Perform Prediction

Bangladesh: Najmul Hossain Shanto, Litton Das, Mehidy Hasan Miraz, Rishad Hossain, Mustafizur Rahman.

Pakistan: Sahibzada Farhan, Mohammad Rizwan, Salman Ali Agha, Shaheen Shah Afridi, Haris Rauf.

Best Batsman Prediction

Who will score the most runs for Bangladesh? Litton Das or Najmul Hossain Shanto.

Who will score the most runs for Pakistan? Mohammad Rizwan or Sahibzada Farhan.

Best Bowler Prediction

Who will pick the most wickets for Bangladesh? Mustafizur Rahman or Rishad Hossain.

Who will pick the most wickets for Pakistan? Abrar Ahmed or Haris Rauf.

Conclusion: Who will win the BAN vs PAK Match?

Bangladesh will enter the 1st ODI as the favourites as they have a bit more experienced side than Pakistan in this series. However, the Men in Green would also want to have a good series, as the 2027 ODI World Cup preparation starts from this series.

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