Explained: How India can be knocked out of T20 World Cup 2024 and miss semi-final berth despite big wins over Afghanistan, Bangladesh

Published - 23 Jun 2024, 03:44 PM | Updated - 23 Jun 2024, 03:45 PM

Rohit Sharma and Mitchell Marsh
Rohit Sharma and Mitchell Marsh (Credits: X)

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Rohit Sharma's team India still have all the possibility to exit the ICC T20 World Cup 2024 from the Super 8s. 
Even if they won against Bangladesh yesterday in their second Super 8 game, India can still get knocked out. They still have a game against Australia tomorrow in St. Lucia and it will be the deciding factor for the semis. 
Currently, India are the leaders in Group 1 with 4 points and a far superior net run rate.  Mitchell Marsh's Australia are second and Afghanistan are third with equal points but it's their net run rate that separates them.
 
Even though Afghanistan defeated Australia earlier today to help their cause for reaching the semis, they still have a lot to do. Rashid Khan and Co. will have to ensure that they not only beat Bangladesh but beat with a huge margin in their last Super 8 match of the T20 World Cup.  
Everything depends on what pans out in the game between India and Australia. On the eve of their match at the Darren Sammy Stadium, here is how India might not reach the semis. For India to reach the last 4, they must win against Australia otherwise the scenario will become difficult for them. 

How India can get eliminated?

If the Aussies win, then chances will get slim. And if Afghanistan beat Bangladesh in the other match, then the chances will get even slimmer. In such a case, all of Australia, India, and Afghanistan will finish with 4 points each and if the Afghans and Aussies win by a big margin, then India will be eliminated.
Therefore, the only way for India to proceed to the semis is by winning their game against Australia. Rohit Sharma's side have a chance to take their revenge on the Aussies for the loss they handed in the 50-over Cricket World Cup final last year. The same Travis Head, David Warner, Mitchell Marsh, Mitchell Starc, and Pat Cummins among others are going to be there. 
The Australians will be motivated to play good cricket because they know they have their backs against the wall. And India would want to continue their form to make sure they squeeze through without any risks. All in all, we are set to witness a mouth-watering clash between the two giants who dominated all the ICC tournaments last year. 
From the World Test Championship final to the CWC final and now the T20 WC, the Indo-Aussie rivalry is going to light up once again. 

Can India beat the Test and ODI World Champions? 

History says that to become Champions, a team has to beat the most successful team in a particular sport. For a club to win the UEFA Champions League in European Football, they will have to beat Real Madrid. Similarly in international cricket, for any team to win ICC tournaments, they need to beat Australia, a team that has the most ICC trophies. 
In 2007, India became the inaugural World T20 Champions by beating Australia in the competition. In the 2011 CWC, the Indians became champions after beating Ricky Ponting's side in the Quarter-finals. In 2019, England lifted the ODI Championship for the first time after beating the same Aussies in the Semi-final.
Therefore, India needs to beat Australia and eliminate them from the competition for their best interest. 

Tagged:

ICC T20 World Cup 2024 Afghanistan National Cricket Team India National Cricket Team Bangladesh National Cricket Team Australia National Cricket Team ICC T20 World Cup