MI vs CSK Match Prediction – Indian Premier League, Match 33
Published - 27 Mar 2026, 06:05 PM | Updated - 21 Apr 2026, 06:26 PM
⚡ QUICK VERDICT
Edge to Chennai Super Kings
Winner: Mumbai Indians
Win Probability: 55%
Best Batter: Tilak Varma
Best Bowler: Jasprit Bumrah
Toss Strategy: Bowl first
Expected 1st innings score: 195-210
FULL ANALYSIS BELOW ↓
MI
41%
CSK
59%
WIN PROBABILITY
Match
Match 33
Series
IPL
Date
Thursday, April 23, 2026
Time
07:30 PM IST
Venue
Wankhede Stadium
City
Mumbai
29.99°C
Humidity 70%
Rain 8%
Mumbai's weather will be clear and humid for this evening's match. Dew is expected in the second innings. This makes it hard for bowlers to grip the ball and gives an advantage to the team chasing.
MI
21
CSK
19
Last 5: MI
LWLLL
CSK
LWLWW
Mumbai Indians have dominated Chennai Super Kings in head-to-head encounters, securing 21 victories in 39 matches. Chennai Super Kings have registered 18 victories.
Live
| Team | Pos | P | W | L | Pts | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MI | #9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -0.736 |
| CSK | #6 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -0.121 |
| Team | Pos | P | W | L | Pts | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBKS | #1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 13 | +1.043 |
| RCB | #2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 | +1.919 |
| RR | #3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 12 | +0.617 |
| SRH | #4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | +0.815 |
| GT | #5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -0.475 |
| DC | #7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1.060 |
| KKR | #8 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -0.751 |
| LSG | #10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -1.106 |
Match Context & Stakes
Mumbai Indians will face Chennai Super Kings in the 33rd match of the Indian Premier League at the Wankhede Stadium on Thursday, April 23. Both sides are struggling near the bottom on four points and fighting hard to stay in playoff contention. A win keeps hopes alive while defeat pushes them closer to elimination.
Impact Players to Watch
TI
KEY IMPACT
Tilak Varma
MI • BAT
181 runs
Avg 25.9 · SR 170.8
NA
GAME CHANGER
Naman Dhir
MI • BAT
154 runs
Avg 22.0 · SR 148.1
SA
X-FACTOR
Sanju Samson
CSK • BAT
304 runs
Avg 38.0 · SR 169.8
Pitch Report — Wankhede Stadium
Based on last 5 completed T20 matches.
223
Avg score
5
Avg wickets
Score Distribution (1st Innings)
005
< 140
140-180
> 180
Pitch: Batting Friendly
Par: 211 - 235
Medium
Batting Friendly: 5
Bowling Friendly: 0
Neutral: 0
Teams batting first have scored noticeably better.
Editorial Pitch Notes
The Wankhede Stadium is known as a batting-friendly pitch. The surface is flat with good bounce, helping batters play attacking shots easily. Fast bowlers may get some early swing, but spinners often struggle because of short boundaries.
Toss Scenario Analysis
Batting First Advantage
MI +2%52%
Chasing Preference
MI +2%52%
If Mumbai Indians bat first, expect a big total between 195 and 210 runs. If Chennai Super Kings bat first, they may score around 175 to 190 runs without Ayush Mhatre. Captains usually choose to bowl first at Wankhede Stadium due to dew in the second innings.
Key Players to Watch
Mumbai Indians
Tilak Varma comes in with excellent form after scoring a brilliant century against Gujarat Titans.
Jasprit Bumrah is back in rhythm and will be a key bowler against the top order.
Ashwani Kumar impressed recently with a four-wicket haul that broke the Gujarat batting lineup.
Chennai Super Kings
Ruturaj Gaikwad needs a big score after struggling in his last six innings.
Sanju Samson is expected to provide quick starts in the power play, especially in the absence of Ayush Mhatre.
MS Dhoni can boost team confidence and add strong finishing ability if he plays.
Key Battles That Decide the Game
Ruturaj Gaikwad vs Jasprit Bumrah: Bumrah will target the out-of-form Gaikwad early with sharp inswing deliveries.
Suryakumar Yadav vs Noor Ahmad: Noor Ahmad needs to bowl smart wrist spin to control Suryakumar in the middle overs.
Tilak Varma vs Jamie Overton: Overton must bowl with accuracy to stop Tilak Varma, who is in strong form right now.
💡
Expert Insight
Mumbai Indians have a clear edge after their huge 99-run win over Gujarat Titans. Tilak Varma scored a brilliant century, while Jasprit Bumrah returned to form with wickets. In contrast, Chennai Super Kings look low on batting confidence, with Ruturaj Gaikwad struggling in his first six innings.
🏆 Final Verdict
Chennai Super Kings — edge on paper
Mumbai Indians are likely to defeat Chennai Super Kings in this match. They have found their rhythm after a strong win over Gujarat Titans.
Our Pick
CSK
Confidence
0%92%100%
FAQs
Q: How many matches have Mumbai Indians won against Chennai Super Kings?
A: Mumbai Indians have won 21 out of 39 Indian Premier League matches against Chennai Super Kings.
Q: What is the highest score for Mumbai Indians against Chennai Super Kings?
A: Mumbai Indians recorded a highest score of 219 against Chennai Super Kings.
Q: Why is Ayush Mhatre missing the match for Chennai Super Kings?
A: He suffered a hamstring injury, which has ruled him out of a few matches.
Q: How did Mumbai Indians perform in their last match?
A: Mumbai Indians defeated Gujarat Titans by 99 runs, with Tilak Varma scoring a century.
Q: Who will win the Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings match?
A: Mumbai Indians look like strong favourites due to their recent form and home advantage.
Latest News
View All
NEP vs OMN Dream11 Prediction Today Match, Dream11 Team Today, Fantasy Cricket Tips, Playing XI, Pitch Report, Injury Update- ICC CWC League 2 ODI 2026, Match 100
Riyan Parag faces IPL ban threat after being caught vaping during PBKS vs RR clash
"Way they batted was commendable": Riyan Parag lauds Donovan Ferreira and Shubham Dubey after match-winning performance vs PBKS
NOT MS Dhoni! Marcus Stoinis has the best strike rate in 20th Over of an IPL match
IPL Points Table 2026: Updated Standings, Orange Cap, Purple Cap After PBKS vs RR Match 40
PBKS vs RR Dream11 Prediction Today Match, Dream11 Team Today, Fantasy Cricket Tips, Playing XI, Pitch Report, Injury Update- IPL 2026, Match 40